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Buffalonians ...check this weather statement out...

Discussion in 'Commercial Snow Removal' started by PetalsandPines, Dec 2, 2004.

  1. PetalsandPines

    PetalsandPines Senior Member
    Messages: 260

    ... Buffalo's snowless November may portend a mild winter...

    The mild autumn of 2004 continued through November across western
    New York. The region completely escaped any lake effect... which can
    often be a problem later in the month.

    In fact... Buffalo received but 0.2 inch of snow for the month... far
    below its 11 inch average. Only two novembers in the 62 year Airport
    record have had less... 1946 with a trace... and 2001 with none.
    There have been seven other Winters with less than an inch.

    There appears to be a relatively strong correlation between mild
    snowless novembers and the subsequent winter season. In fact... the
    nine novembers with less than an inch of snow were all followed by
    Winters with above normal temperatures... and seven of the nine had
    less snow than normal.

    A few notes of interest... the two Winters which did have more snow
    than usual had most of it condensed in a short period. The
    infamous 2001-02 winter featured virtually no snow until Christmas
    eve... then dumped the greatest amount of snow ever in a week... over
    80 inches... but then returned to a very mild pattern for the rest of
    the winter. The other exception was the winter of 1998-99 which had
    most of the snow condensed in a three week period in
    January... otherwise it was mild.

    Normally buffalo's average temperature for the three month winter is
    26.5. Average snowfall for an entire season is 97 inches.

    Here are the specifics for the nine "low snow" novembers and their
    following Winters.

    Average temperature 29.0... or 2.5 degrees above normal
    average snowfall 78 inches... or 19 inches below normal.

    Specific years...

    Year November snow winter temp season snow

    2001 none 32.9 132.4
    1946 trace 27.7 65.4
    1998 0.2 29.9 100.5
    1988 0.6 28.0 67.4
    1954 0.7 27.1 84.8
    1990 0.7 30.1 57.5
    1987 0.9 28.4 56.4
    1994 0.9 28.5 74.6
    1999 0.9 28.5 63.6

    ... It should also be noted that seven of these "low snow" novembers
    occurred in the past 15 years... while only two occurred in the
    previous 47 years. A trend?

    We make no predictions for the upcoming winter... but if past
    trends are any indication... we are in for another mild and low
    snow season. This suggestion is also supported by historical
    temperature trends of Winters featuring a combined weak El Nino and
    predominately positive nao... like the one that we are currently
    experiencing. But... there are no sure bets in weather... and records
    are made to be broken!
  2. PetalsandPines

    PetalsandPines Senior Member
    Messages: 260

    While I find this interesting....

    This is interesting, however I noticed that these so called "Snowless" winters consist of a lot of "Nuisance" Snowfalls....Those 2-3" Snowfalls that require you to plow, yet keep you from making good money on pay-per-plows. :realmad:
  3. frankmd73

    frankmd73 Junior Member
    from buffalo
    Messages: 7

    nice post

    nice post ped. Lets hope thats the case from a fellow buffalonian
  4. PetalsandPines

    PetalsandPines Senior Member
    Messages: 260


    It' :rolleyes: s Pet not Ped......
  5. finnegan

    finnegan Senior Member
    Messages: 313

    i'll believe it when i see it they didn't even call for snow for the big one in 2000
  6. frankmd73

    frankmd73 Junior Member
    from buffalo
    Messages: 7

    sorry brother

    sorry i ment PET. hit the wrong key..do you think our luck has changed tonight?
  7. PetalsandPines

    PetalsandPines Senior Member
    Messages: 260

    Change of luck...

    I don't like Alberta Clippers, everytime they cross our area 1-2" turns into 3-5" because of lake enhancement....For God's sake, I think us seasoned snowplowers can predict the weather better than the computer model readers......oh I mean weathermen.

    ADLAWNCUTTERS Senior Member
    Messages: 212

    good post .don't forget this is buffalo we could have temp from 30 deg one day and 55 deg the next. one thing i have learned in over 20 years of plowing it not over till april 10 th. you just never know. :)