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winter weather update

Discussion in 'Weather' started by FISHERBOY, Nov 30, 2011.

  1. FISHERBOY

    FISHERBOY Senior Member
    Messages: 542

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
    329 PM EST WED NOV 30 2011

    LOOKING FARTHER AHEAD...THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION /NAO/ AND
    ARCTIC OSCILLATION /AO/ WILL REMAIN SOLIDLY POSITIVE THROUGH NEXT
    WEEK. THE PACIFIC NORTH AMERICAN /PNA/ INDEX IS FORECAST TO BECOME
    MORE NEGATIVE BY NEXT WEEKEND AS THE MEAN LONGWAVE TROUGH POSITION
    RELOADS IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION
    /MJO/ WILL ALSO CONTINUE A SLOW ORBIT THROUGH PHASE 4-5 OVER THE
    NEXT FEW WEEKS. A LOOK AT MJO COMPOSITES FOR THE EXPECTED OUTCOME OF
    PHASE 4-5 ACROSS NORTH AMERICA SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE
    ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF DECEMBER.:cry:

    GIVEN THE PROGRESSION OF NORTHERN HEMISPHERIC TELECONNECTIONS...ANY
    SHOTS OF COLD AIR OVER THE NEXT FEW WEEKS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN BRIEF
    WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES MOST COMMON THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
    OF DECEMBER. A LOGICAL PROGRESSION OF THE MJO PAST THE END OF THE
    GEFS ENSEMBLE FORECAST...AND ALSO THE EXPECTATION OF A BETTER CHANCE
    OF NEGATIVE AO BY MIDWINTER GIVEN THE DEVELOPING EASTERLY
    QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION /QBO/...EXPECT A PROGRESSION TOWARDS MORE
    CONSISTENT COLD AND SNOW BY LATE DECEMBER OR THE START OF JANUARY.payup
     
  2. grandview

    grandview PlowSite Fanatic
    Messages: 14,609

    In English please.
     
  3. CS-LAWNSERVICE

    CS-LAWNSERVICE Member
    Messages: 79

    means no snow for you Grandview
     
  4. FISHERBOY

    FISHERBOY Senior Member
    Messages: 542

    it also means when the cold air comes in, it leaves if a few days, its very hard in this la nina pattern to get the cold air to lock in, it sucks to say the least
     
  5. grandview

    grandview PlowSite Fanatic
    Messages: 14,609

    Fine by me,can you smell the green of those seasonal contracts.
     
  6. CS-LAWNSERVICE

    CS-LAWNSERVICE Member
    Messages: 79

    figured you would like that
     
  7. rusty3506

    rusty3506 Junior Member
    Messages: 23

    Might have some white stuff thursday or friday ...
     
  8. leolkfrm

    leolkfrm PlowSite.com Addict
    Messages: 1,432

    all the hype and it turns into a bust....2 days of just salt!