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I95 First Nor'easter/ with some tropical aspects?

Discussion in 'Weather' started by tls22, Sep 23, 2008.

  1. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    Hey you crazy plow people, looks like our first Nor'easter is on its way! Early Nor'Easter's are a good sign for winter! Looks Like a low pressure will come up the coast thursday night which will spread heavy rain /wind from D.C. to Boston!

    Hr60 GFS http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/fp0_060.shtml


    hr 66 http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/fp0_060.shtml

    If you cut grass on thursday/friday on the east coast, move the lawns up one day! I will be doing this, as the weekend will be a total wash out!

    http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/fp0_102.shtml

    Hr 102 is very interesting as a tropical system will be forming south of new england, many models have this coming on shore around Long island as a tropical storm! This would be around the Saturday afternoon time frame. This is a possibility, but my gut tells me it will go wide right! It may enhance rain in southern new england saturday night!

    The nam model only goes out 84 hrs http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/fp0_084.shtml
    But you can see the tropical system about 300 miles south of Long island, on that path it would cross over!

    This is a very tricky forecast and i will have updates, here is a post from a forecast from accuweather!


    Take out the GFS and we have a good consensus [amongst the major models] on a hit near NYC... but until these players take the field it's not something yet to hang our hat on. I will say that again there are some interesting parameters for intensification there, including very warm water water off the mid-Atlantic coast, and that is why you see the hurricane models deepening this thing so much (sub-960 mb pressures on some runs). But... Hanna taught me to wait until we get away from Hispaniola, and that I will do.


    Thanks,Tim:waving:
     
  2. gkm

    gkm Senior Member
    Messages: 305

    :drinkup:way to keep on top of things keep us up to date. thanks
     
  3. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    Np gkm......going to be a rainy weekend!
     
  4. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    I will have a update tonight!
     
  5. 06HD BOSS

    06HD BOSS 2000 Club Member
    Messages: 2,611

    Thanks Tim. think i should get the plow ready? or the squeegy?
     
  6. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    Go squeegy, perhaps some sleet mix in!:rolleyes:
     
  7. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    Wed morning update:


    Good old fashion nor'easter coming up the coast, wash out from thursday-sunday! Pre-pare for heavy rain, wind , and costal flooding! I will have more updates late tonight, as i have work all day and school tonight!:waving:
     
  8. grandview

    grandview PlowSite Fanatic
    Messages: 14,609

    Are you saying this could be a October Snow Storm?:D
     
  9. mike psd

    mike psd PlowSite.com Addict
    from pa
    Messages: 1,028

    who cares about the "mad man henry " we got the "mad man TIMBO" LOL ussmileyflag
     
  10. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    Funny you bring that up gv, perhaps the cold shot next week might lead to some wet flakes. A little to early for a october 2006, but perhaps some flakes for you!



    Thanks Mike!:drinkup:
     
  11. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    Final call on the storm!

    Rain starts from south to north on thursday, expect heavy rain to fall from thursday night to friday afternoon. Expect scattered shower threw the weekend! 1-4 inches of rain!



    Winds will gust to 30-40 mph along the coast, minor coastal flooding is possible!



    First nor'easter of the year enjoy it, hopefully we can get a ton of snow nor'easters this winter!xysport
     
    Last edited: Sep 24, 2008
  12. stroker79

    stroker79 2000 Club Member
    Messages: 2,802

    Im going to spray Fluid Film all along the east coast so the noreasters slip away and head to chicago!! I bet GV will help too!
     
  13. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    NO snow for you Doug, u had enough last year!:nono:
     
  14. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    On the way home today i stop to get dinner by the water. I took this shot of the truck and trailer, left the other mowers home. My lawn is not that big! Normaly you can see the city in this shot. The water also had some nice white caps on it!



    [​IMG]
     
  15. 06HD BOSS

    06HD BOSS 2000 Club Member
    Messages: 2,611

    are the rear tires on the trailer more bald then the front? looks like the tounge is a little low
     
  16. tls22

    tls22 PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 4,263

    Nah they are good! It might be a dip in the pavement or my trailer hitch sits low! Plus all the weight is upfront!