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HOWDY lets talk WEATHER -- Winter weather !

Discussion in 'Weather' started by wxdavid, Dec 23, 2015.

  1. wxdavid

    wxdavid Junior Member
    Messages: 12

    Howdy all and Merry Xmas! I My name is DT - David Tolleris is i if and I am a grain and energy meteorologist located in Richmond Virginia. I will be making some weather posts here from time to time and I hope that you find these information useful. For those who wish to find out more about who I am and what I do ....you can click on my profile

    First let me briefly say that as a private sector meteorologist that deals with energy and grain traders, the forecast process and mindset is significantly different than the type the meteorologist you see on The Weather Channel (TWC) or Accu-weather or your local TV.

    If you know anybody who trades grain or energy ... then you know that those kinds of persons really don't care about the forecast today or tomorrow. Their main concern is 3 days from now.. 6 days... 9 days ...15 days etc. This is significantly different from what you see with the meteorologists on TWC or from NWS or from your local TV weather person who may or may not be a meteorologist.

    It is a commonly held belief that you can't forecast with any accuracy beyond 4 or 5 days but that is NOT really correct. To be sure you cannot tell if he temperature in Chicago 7 days some now is going to be 42° vs 44 but you can tell if temperatures will be Above normal ..near normal or below normal and the same thing goes for precipitation. There are certain weather pattern that exists which scream " big East coast winter storm" or Big Midwest Winter storm" or Ice storm etc etc

    In addition... extended forecasting -- say out to two weeks or 30 days or three months- is a special skill which have to be done all the time. The winter forecast that you may see on your local TV meteorologist is often an identical or regurgitated forecast from CPC/ NWS . To do extended forecasting you have to do all the time - like playing baseball or fornicating. Issuing a winter forecast in October or November when the public is clamoring for it is a waste of time. Those who make 2 week forecasts and 30 day forecasts and seasonal forecasts all year round are usually much better at doing this sort of thing.
  2. Mark Oomkes

    Mark Oomkes PlowSite Fanatic
    Messages: 10,460

    Subscribed.............and welcome.
  3. Philbilly2

    Philbilly2 2000 Club Member
    Messages: 2,167

    Welcome DT!

    Also climbing on board the discussion.
  4. LapeerLandscape

    LapeerLandscape PlowSite.com Addict
    Messages: 1,457

    Welcome to the discussion.

    FISHERBOY Senior Member
    Messages: 542

    Welcome DT , big fan and I'm also a subscriber to your site , and Facebook.
  6. unhcp

    unhcp PlowSite.com Addict
    Messages: 1,238

    def checking this thread out
  7. Sir Roy

    Sir Roy Junior Member
    Messages: 8

    Welcome. Subscribed.
  8. Evil Diesel

    Evil Diesel Senior Member
    from Sharon
    Messages: 200

    Too funny. I just mentioned you on the new england wx thread. Welcome
  9. unhcp

    unhcp PlowSite.com Addict
    Messages: 1,238

    I am hearing rumblings of a storm Tuesday???