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3' to 5' by Monday Morning,Up State NY

Discussion in 'Weather' started by Oshkosh, Feb 2, 2007.

  1. Oshkosh

    Oshkosh PlowSite.com Addict
    Messages: 1,655

    Go Figure...
    OFF LAKE ONTARIO...SIMILAR OR EVEN MORE IMPRESSIVE LAKE PARAMETERS
    SEEN OFF LAKE ERIE WILL BE EXPERIENCED OFF LAKE ONTARIO WITH ABOUT A
    6 HOUR DELAY. LAKE SNOWS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE ARCTIC BOUNDARY
    LATER THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON GENERALLY
    MEANDERING FROM THE TUG HILL NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WATERTOWN AREA AND
    THEN EVENTUALLY SETTLING BACK ACROSS THE TUG HILL LATER SATURDAY
    NIGHT. THE SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT TIME PERIOD LOOKS TO BE THE
    MOST INTENSE WITH A FULL LAKE FETCH IN PLACE AND EXTREME INSTABILITY
    WITH LAKE INDUCED CAPES OVER 1000 J/KG. VERY INTENSE LAKE SNOWS
    SHOULD BE REALIZED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF UP
    TO 5 INCHES PER HOUR NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
    WARNING ALREADY ISSUED TO COVER THIS ENTIRE TIME PERIOD FROM TONIGHT
    THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO AS MUCH AS 5 FEET OR
    EVEN MORE ARE LIKELY BY MONDAY MORNING.

    &&

    .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

    PROLONGED COLD FLOW ACROSS BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WILL MAINTAIN
    PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. GFS KEEPS
    WESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE LAKES AND 850MB TEMPS HOVER AROUND -20C
    THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND THE TUG HILL
    PLATEAU WILL BE IN NEARLY CONTINUOUS LAKE EFFECT SNOWS AND THE COLD
    TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH SNOW TO WATER RATIOS...THUS
    PRODIGIOUS AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE LIKELY. THE REGION REMAINS UNDER THE
    INFLUENCE OF THE COLD CYCLONIC FLOW AND LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS
    ARE POSSIBLE ANYWHERE DURING THIS FRIGID EPISODE.

    DAYTIME TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE MID TEENS TUESDAY WITH A
    SLOW MODERATION TO THE 20S BY THE END OF THE WEEK. LOW TEMPS WILL
    LIKELY BE WELL BELOW ZERO OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER AND EAST OF LAKE
    ONTARIO THROUGH MID WEEK WITH SINGLE NUMBER TO LOWER TEENS
    ELSEWHERE...MODERATING TO THE SINGLE NUMBER AND TEENS BY THE END OF
    THE WEEK.
     
  2. DeereFarmer

    DeereFarmer PlowSite Veteran
    Messages: 3,296

    If anybody out there need some helps let me know. I can be out there in no time!:p :waving: