It's more than just looking at a model, it's about trends and how the models and atmosphere changes with new info every 6 hours. Check out the latest...you'll see why this storm is worth watching !
Oh cripes, not a blog about GFS this, NAM that. Go through the Minnesota weather thread about last.... when was that.... sometime last year.
Everyone was all up in arms, we had an 18z GFS that was spitting out we were going to get 30" of snow. It was by far going to be the most we had had all season for a TOTAL at that point, and we're talking late February if I remember right.
You know what we got? 3/4", and most of that melted before it could be plowed.
Anyways, stick with sticking your head out the window. If it's snowing, go plow. If it isn't, play MW3 (soon to be Black Ops II) until it is.
We are showing this because of the potential danger early next week (wind & flooding)...no more no less. I think too many remember a missed forecast vs. all the ones that were dead on.
Just remember when you get snow and we give you a heads up....it why we pushed through 4 years of calculus, physics and more. We love the art of forecasting but not everyone will be right. Just like when you plow and you hit that curb and or hidden car...hey it happens.
Here's to a great winter ahead of snow and ice...and we'll be there to guide you through it...even if you hit that car LOL.
The perfect storm was not a hurricane running up the eastern coast , there were 3 or 4 other things that converged over the northeast ( that nobody saw coming except Boston weather guy Tod Gross) that made it happen . There were not warnings three weeks in advance of it either , your doing a great disservice using the term perfect storm for a tropical depression , If you were here to see the real one you would know what Im talking about. The storm blowing up from a small weather event is what got the Andrea Gail not a hurricane lumbering up the coast weeks in advance , they would have been in the bar drinking not fishing if it was like this. Stop using that term when sitting in Arizona.
there were 3 or 4 other things that converged over the northeast
"With a rare mix of three big merging weather systems over a densely populated region, experts predict at least $1 billion in damage."
Quote:
If you were here to see the real one you would know what Im talking about.
The original perfect storm was in 1936. http://www.grammarphobia.com/blog/20...ect-storm.html The first use of the expression in the meteorological sense comes from the March 20, 1936, issue of the Port Arthur (Texas) News: “The weather bureau describes the disturbance as ‘the perfect storm’ of its type. Seven factors were involved in the chain of circumstances that led to the flood.”
You must be incredibly old to remember it and talk about it like that. At your advanced age, I guess it's normal to be that crotchety. If you served in World War II, we thank you for your service. Can you post pictures of your first plow on a Model T? You might need your great-great-grandson to help.
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Past: 8.5' Diamond on 12' stake body dump 15,000lb upgraded F350, for state highways...and lack of experience.
Present: Snowbear on 2002 GMC 1500 and ancient Ariens, for personal use only.
"With a rare mix of three big merging weather systems over a densely populated region, experts predict at least $1 billion in damage."
The original perfect storm was in 1936. http://www.grammarphobia.com/blog/20...ect-storm.html The first use of the expression in the meteorological sense comes from the March 20, 1936, issue of the Port Arthur (Texas) News: “The weather bureau describes the disturbance as ‘the perfect storm’ of its type. Seven factors were involved in the chain of circumstances that led to the flood.”
You must be incredibly old to remember it and talk about it like that. At your advanced age, I guess it's normal to be that crotchety. If you served in World War II, we thank you for your service. Can you post pictures of your first plow on a Model T? You might need your great-great-grandson to help.
The original perfect storm was in 1936. http://www.grammarphobia.com/blog/20...ect-storm.html The first use of the expression in the meteorological sense comes from the March 20, 1936, issue of the Port Arthur (Texas) News: �The weather bureau describes the disturbance as �the perfect storm� of its type. Seven factors were involved in the chain of circumstances that led to the flood.� Can you post pictures of your first plow on a Model T?
Note that is the first use of the grammatical term perfect storm. Major catastrophic storms have been happening though out history. For example the 1901 Galveston hurricane was a storm of much greater magnitude and loss of life than any of the "perfect storms" you are referring to. You would never use the term if it wasn't for a movie.
No I'm not old enough to have been there but I am old enough to read books and study history.
you guys kidding me , argue over a weather statement ??come on we can all do better than this. Regardless of names this is going to hurt many many people and many will be without power,water and whatever else. We should all hope for best for all involved. BTY i was here for the blizzard of 77 in buffalo and this thing coming scares me.
Note that is the first use of the grammatical term perfect storm. Major catastrophic storms have been happening though out history. For example the 1901 Galveston hurricane was a storm of much greater magnitude and loss of life than any of the "perfect storms" you are referring to. You would never use the term if it wasn't for a movie.
No I'm not old enough to have been there but I am old enough to read books and study history.
the picture you requested
You...you're good.
Folks, this guy got what I was driving at.
__________________
Past: 8.5' Diamond on 12' stake body dump 15,000lb upgraded F350, for state highways...and lack of experience.
Present: Snowbear on 2002 GMC 1500 and ancient Ariens, for personal use only.
The barometric pressure with this storm is a CAT 2 hurricane so this is how you have think this storm will slam into NJ DE PA NY MD CT on Sunday Night and into Tuesday. I broke down the regions and power outages expected.